Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-06 0.168078 0.189477 0.211990 0.237387 0.265187 0.294635 0.328132
2025-04-13 0.138668 0.167389 0.199235 0.236976 0.280290 0.328247 0.385157
2025-04-20 0.119485 0.153069 0.192020 0.240133 0.297541 0.363409 0.444236
2025-04-27 0.106557 0.143941 0.189056 0.246816 0.318052 0.402258 0.508477
2025-05-04 0.093831 0.133287 0.182711 0.248113 0.331235 0.432147 0.562581
2025-05-11 0.085182 0.126661 0.180390 0.253603 0.349125 0.467790 0.624396
2025-05-18 0.078376 0.121601 0.179346 0.260155 0.368099 0.504961 0.688915
2025-05-25 0.069734 0.113024 0.172705 0.258489 0.375791 0.527530 0.735147
2025-06-01 0.062748 0.106035 0.167517 0.258124 0.384727 0.551531 0.783476
2025-06-08 0.056522 0.099498 0.162329 0.257171 0.392435 0.573749 0.829697
2025-06-15 0.052840 0.096449 0.161849 0.262648 0.408966 0.608007 0.892590
2025-06-22 0.048176 0.091370 0.157901 0.262683 0.417568 0.631451 0.941241
2025-06-29 0.043676 0.086238 0.153645 0.262199 0.425657 0.654838 0.991136
2025-07-06 0.039579 0.081363 0.149388 0.261360 0.433023 0.677264 1.040161
2025-07-13 0.036738 0.078371 0.147875 0.264557 0.446338 0.708359 1.101977
2025-07-20 0.034913 0.077006 0.148877 0.271659 0.465665 0.748502 1.177471
2025-07-27 0.032203 0.073727 0.146414 0.272993 0.476097 0.775860 1.235201
2025-08-03 0.030511 0.072200 0.146795 0.278883 0.493667 0.814035 1.309292
2025-08-10 0.029135 0.071147 0.147894 0.285935 0.513195 0.855502 1.388986
2025-08-17 0.026541 0.067373 0.143880 0.284125 0.518479 0.875627 1.437644
2025-08-24 0.024385 0.064266 0.140828 0.283725 0.525886 0.898999 1.491454
2025-08-31 0.022341 0.061165 0.137546 0.282693 0.532114 0.920582 1.542893
2025-09-07 0.021322 0.060204 0.138217 0.288602 0.549878 0.960282 1.622296